set A; # asset categories set T := {1973..1994}; # years param s_max default 0.00305; # i.e., a 5.522 percent std. deviation on reward param R {T,A}; param mean {j in A} := ( sum{i in T} R[i,j] )/card(T); param Rtilde {i in T, j in A} := R[i,j] - mean[j]; param Cov {j in A, k in A} := sum {i in T} (Rtilde[i,j]*Rtilde[i,k]) / card(T); param Corr {j in A, k in A} := Cov[j,k]/sqrt(Cov[j,j]*Cov[k,k]); var x{A} >=0; minimize reward: - sum{j in A} mean[j]*x[j] ; subject to risk_bound: sum{i in T} (sum{j in A} Rtilde[i,j]*x[j])^2 / card{T} <= s_max; subject to tot_mass: sum{j in A} x[j] = 1; data; set A := US_3-MONTH_T-BILLS US_GOVN_LONG_BONDS SP_500 WILSHIRE_5000 NASDAQ_COMPOSITE LEHMAN_BROTHERS_CORPORATE_BONDS_INDEX EAFE GOLD; param R: US_3-MONTH_T-BILLS US_GOVN_LONG_BONDS SP_500 WILSHIRE_5000 NASDAQ_COMPOSITE LEHMAN_BROTHERS_CORPORATE_BONDS_INDEX EAFE GOLD := 1973 1.075 0.942 0.852 0.815 0.698 1.023 0.851 1.677 1974 1.084 1.020 0.735 0.716 0.662 1.002 0.768 1.722 1975 1.061 1.056 1.371 1.385 1.318 1.123 1.354 0.760 1976 1.052 1.175 1.236 1.266 1.280 1.156 1.025 0.960 1977 1.055 1.002 0.926 0.974 1.093 1.030 1.181 1.200 1978 1.077 0.982 1.064 1.093 1.146 1.012 1.326 1.295 1979 1.109 0.978 1.184 1.256 1.307 1.023 1.048 2.212 1980 1.127 0.947 1.323 1.337 1.367 1.031 1.226 1.296 1981 1.156 1.003 0.949 0.963 0.990 1.073 0.977 0.688 1982 1.117 1.465 1.215 1.187 1.213 1.311 0.981 1.084 1983 1.092 0.985 1.224 1.235 1.217 1.080 1.237 0.872 1984 1.103 1.159 1.061 1.030 0.903 1.150 1.074 0.825 1985 1.080 1.366 1.316 1.326 1.333 1.213 1.562 1.006 1986 1.063 1.309 1.186 1.161 1.086 1.156 1.694 1.216 1987 1.061 0.925 1.052 1.023 0.959 1.023 1.246 1.244 1988 1.071 1.086 1.165 1.179 1.165 1.076 1.283 0.861 1989 1.087 1.212 1.316 1.292 1.204 1.142 1.105 0.977 1990 1.080 1.054 0.968 0.938 0.830 1.083 0.766 0.922 1991 1.057 1.193 1.304 1.342 1.594 1.161 1.121 0.958 1992 1.036 1.079 1.076 1.090 1.174 1.076 0.878 0.926 1993 1.031 1.217 1.100 1.113 1.162 1.110 1.326 1.146 1994 1.045 0.889 1.012 0.999 0.968 0.965 1.078 0.990 ; solve; display Corr; printf: "-------------------------------------------------------------------\n"; printf: " Asset Mean Variance \n"; printf {j in A}: "%45s %10.7f %10.7f \n", j, mean[j], sum{i in T} Rtilde[i,j]^2 / card(T); printf: "\n"; printf: "Optimal Portfolio: Asset Fraction \n"; printf {j in A: x[j] > 0.001}: "%45s %10.7f \n", j, x[j]; printf: "Mean = %10.7f, Variance = %10.5f \n", sum{j in A} mean[j]*x[j], sum{i in T} (sum{j in A} Rtilde[i,j]*x[j])^2 / card(T);